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by ronhoon from Fox 10 in Phoenix

Last Post 3 days, 4 hours Ago


It amazes me, when you consider how fed up about the economy, and Iraq, people are...that John McCain is as close as he is in the polls to Barack Obama.  You would think in a year where voters want to see major changes happen that Obama would be running a 20 point lead in the polls right now.  Instead most show him up by about 5 to 7 points.  And that's after Hillary Clinton drops out, endorses him, bringing along lots of positive coverage.  There is even one poll out there showing that people want change so badly, by a margin of about 15 points, that they are willing to vote for a candidate with little experience (Obama) over someone with a lot of it (McCain.)

It remains to be seen which candidate will get those rural, blue collar voters...who probably didn't like being portrayed as "bitter" by Obama, who have seen their candidate Hillary, drop out...who would identify more with the Democratic Party, but who like John McCain as a war hero.

The key, as we sit now, less than five months out from the general election, is this:  Who can win a handful of battleground states.  Among them: 

OHIO

PENNSYLVANIA

FLORIDA

VIRGINIA

WEST VIRGINIA

MINNESOTA

MICHIGAN

Hey, that almost looks like a college football poll!  (Sorry, I'm getting a little impatient waiting for September.)  But keep an eye on these states in the next several weeks.  Now that the general election matchup has been set, we should see new polls coming out from these battlegrounds soon.  And most of them are wide open.

Two polls in Virginia show entirely different result.  Both taken in late May...one shows Obama up by 7...the other has McCain up by 8 points.  Florida, for now, doesn't appear to be as much of a toss up.  Polls there show McCain up 4 to 11 points.  But then there's Michigan...where a poll in late May showed McCain up 4...shortly after that, another one showed Obama up 3.

This isn't one of those "in the middle" kind of elections, either.  Many observers say Obama has been the single most liberal guy in the U.S. Senate.  And while John McCain isn't the most conservative, he is conservative, more in the fiesty Barry Goldwater mode (another Arizonan with an independent streak.)  So, this time around, the voters have a very clear choice.  And the states listed above will play a huge role in deciding it.

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MrRhetoric read my blog
Jun 12, 2008 | 2:07 PM

Well in Arizona, unless 38,000 Hispanic voters are going to be getting Voter Fraud letters in the mail from Andrew Thomas, we need to have our Secretary of State Jan Brewer recuse herself and find out why those votes were challenged or considered Provisional ballots that were uncounted for .........unknown reasons given.

If a person has to have a valid id, drivers license and provides one, and receives a ballot, when did it become a provisional ballot and why?

It appears the State only challenged the vote, and not the voter. If there are 38,000 voters whom committed voter fraud they need to be arrested and charged. If not then, Secretary Jan Brewer needs to explain it.

38,000 votes is a make it or break it in ARizona. The hispanic vote, the now challenged vote, provisional ballot in arizona is very important for Democrats and Independents alike.

That is the only way John McCain can even come close to winning Arizona. Only if 38,000 caged provisional ballots are still caged provisional ballots that have already caged 38,000 voters who go to the same polls with the same identification, with the same ending no vote challenge by the State, aka Jan Brewer.

John McCain has costed Arizonians too much and he has gotten a free pass far too long in this state.

How much revenue did Arizonians receive from his Suncor Development Federal Land Swap that is under investigation right now. $100,000 donation, and we got what? Stroked again, QWEST has to love him for all his Senatorial due dilligence he did on their behalf.

Martina_J read my blog
Jun 12, 2008 | 2:43 PM

It's no surprise to me considering America's racist past, present and (hopefully not) future.

GeoBushII read my blog view my photos
Jun 12, 2008 | 5:00 PM

Ron, you know as well as any layman, that polls can be constued, manipilated, to favor one or the other. They are neither accurate or reliable.
I have to laugh at the experience question. Neither one has had the experience of being president yet, so they are both even as far as presidential experience on that subject.

nowmd
Jun 12, 2008 | 5:46 PM

Yea FOX NEWS Pollster Frank Luntz Brags About Changing Respondents' Minds to manipulate polls. So its admitted by a FOX NEW employee the polls are manipulated to curve public opinion. Maybe Ron Hoon is doing the same thing right now ?????

nowmd
Jun 12, 2008 | 6:00 PM

According to a recent POLL 73% of american disapprove of the wars so how can the numbers change so drastically in support of McCain who wants the wars to last for a 100 years if need be? Most water/flouride drinking americans are fooled by these numbers and cant figure out its all propaganda.

nowmd
Jun 12, 2008 | 6:07 PM

Im truly sorry, this is the full version of the video I meant to post. Please forgive me.

dhw1949 read my blog
Jun 12, 2008 | 8:25 PM

Looks like one of our resident left-wing radicals has jumped in with one of their other names.

msinfo62 read my blog view my photos
Jun 12, 2008 | 10:57 PM

I am just waiting to see who the respective VPs are as that will be the combo that helps me make my final decision.

SWhite79 read my blog view my photos
Jun 13, 2008 | 1:59 AM

The CLEAR CHOICE is John McCain. As a voter, I'm not doing as Ron Hoon thinks I should and only look at the Iraq issue. McCain's position is that we need to stay, and Obama represents "change" according to Hoon and other Obama supporters. So like a sucker, I'm supposed to vote for Obama based on his campaign's slogan "Change - yes we can." Sorry Ron, I think for myself. Obama has only been a US Senator since Bush started serving his 2nd Presidential term. He does not have the experience, nor the knowledge to be President of this country. Change? Sure. But all change is not good. A change to communism and high taxes would be a BAD THING.

Not to mention, this country would be WEAK on national security again. Yes, NATIONAL SECURITY which is still very important. Some Americans no longer care because in their idiotic mindset we haven't been hit since 9/11, so it's not likely to happen again. That's Bull. It is likely to happen again. We haven't been hit since 9/11 because Bush went on the offensive and took the fight to the enemy. Say what you want about the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq, but they have crippled al-Qaida and other terrorist organizations. Obama will throw out the Patriot Act, making it harder for our intelligence to catch the al-Qaida members living in the Unites States (yes, they are here) communicating or sending money overseas in support of terrorism. He will release all terrorist suspects in US custody - such as the ones at Guantanamo who haven't yet been released. Liberals would have you believe they are innocent. The fact is, they were caught on the bat

Goldbug read my blog
Jun 13, 2008 | 5:37 AM

This may turn out to be the first time people have to vote for VP rather than President. Neither McCain nor Obama have experience at running anything. Neither have any clue what is good for the country. They are both caught up in the feeding frenzy in the sea of taxpayer supplied money.

retnjcop read my blog
Jun 13, 2008 | 5:56 AM

I gotta go with msinfo62. We're such a long way from Nov.

AZRon read my blog
Jun 13, 2008 | 7:54 AM

Polls don't mean diddley squat. It's the media's way of trying to keep public interest so viewers will tune into a given TV or radio station.

I've only been contacted twice by a polling group. In one poll, when I answered an early question with an answer that wasn't wanted, the pollster abruptly ended the interview.

Nearly every poll targets a specific demographic group to obtain the results the initiators of the poll wants. I believe most polls are tainted.

It will boil down to what the voters perceive on election day. Nothing else.

msinfo62 read my blog view my photos
Jun 13, 2008 | 8:05 AM

The strange thing is that both candidates know that their choice in VP could actually make or break them.

I will say right now that there is no way I would remotely consider voting for Obama if he chooses sHrillary as his running mate. In fact, he will have to really come up with someone that has the ultimate track record.

On the other hand, there are a few people that McPain can choose that could completely turn me off.

I can't see him choosing Ron Paul, but that would be a big NO GO for me.

Then again, sHriallary having no vote in the senate would be a step down for her. In a twisted way, that isn't such a bad idea, except too many people close to the Clintoons wind up dead and Obama would be moved to the top of their "list."

What a dilemma...

nowmd
Jun 13, 2008 | 9:01 AM

Interesting, But did you know that when Obama was sworn into the senate he didnt take his oath while placing his hand on the bible?

He placed his hand on the "KORAN" instead of the bible as they swore him in.

Dont believe me? Go research it then.

For 17 days a man sat in front of mccain's office on a hunger strike only asking for 2 hours of mccains time, and mccain ignored him.
The man ended the hunger strike last week when Sen karen johnson instead took him before the senate to state his protest.

Mccain doesnt care about any of you or me.
And obama might just end up being the anti-christ, who knows? But he sure as hell wont place his hand on the christian bible as they swore him into office.

So take your pick,.......
Nothing will change except for our freedom and your to scare to face the facts.

KUCINICH introduced 35 articles of impeachment against BUSH last week and PELOSI said she would block it cuz it wasnt in ISRAELS best interest.
I know you dont believe that but if you allowed me to prove it with the videos, what would you actually say?

Ron Paul has been threaten to drop out instead of going to the convention, they dont like ron paul teaching the young people about the constitution. Got video of that too.

Ron paul might be the only candidate that can pull us out of this designed economical crash.

They want the economy to crash so you become dependant on gov so they can take ownership of you in exchange for your freedom.

nowmd
Jun 13, 2008 | 9:06 AM

If you want to know what kind of president Barack Obama will be, look no further than his sponsorship of the fingerprint registry bill now wending its way through the Senate. Obama apparently has no reservations when it comes to robbing Americans of their freedom. The corporate media does not believe Obama’s backing of this bill warrants mention, but the Heritage Foundation does:

So cough up your fingerprints MSINFO cuz in Obamas eyes your a criminal, we all are and we will be forced to submit our fingerprints to the gov so they can make a nice little database and set you up when they want for any crime they please.

Sens. Diane Feinstein (D-Calif.) and Mel Martinez (R-Fla.) authored a bill (with 11 co-sponsors, including Sen. Barack Obama) that was incorporated into a housing bill passed by the Senate Banking Committee 19-2 before the Memorial Day recess — a bill that creates a national fingerprint registry.

nowmd
Jun 13, 2008 | 9:09 AM

Interesting, But did you know that when Obama was sworn into the senate he didnt take his oath while placing his hand on the bible?

He placed his hand on the "KORAN" instead of the bible as they swore him in.

Dont believe me? Go research it then.

For 17 days a man sat in front of mccain's office on a hunger strike only asking for 2 hours of mccains time, and mccain ignored him.
The man ended the hunger strike last week when Sen karen johnson instead took him before the senate to state his protest.

Mccain doesnt care about any of you or me.
And obama might just end up being the anti-christ, who knows? But he sure as hell wont place his hand on the christian bible as they swore him into office.

So take your pick,.......
Nothing will change except for our freedom and your to scare to face the facts.

KUCINICH introduced 35 articles of impeachment against BUSH last week and PELOSI said she would block it cuz it wasnt in ISRAELS best interest.
I know you dont believe that but if you allowed me to prove it with the videos, what would you actually say?

Ron Paul has been threaten to drop out instead of going to the convention, they dont like ron paul teaching the young people about the constitution. Got video of that too.

Ron paul might be the only candidate that can pull us out of this designed economical crash.

They want the economy to crash so you become dependant on gov so they can take ownership of you in exchange for your freedom.

nowmd
Jun 13, 2008 | 9:10 AM

McCain described Cheney as one of the best vice presidents ever:

At a July 15 appearance in Michigan, McCain dampened the speculation by calling Cheney “one of the most capable, experienced, intelligent and steady vice presidents this country has ever had.”

nowmd
Jun 13, 2008 | 9:18 AM

Fox news didnt report on this did they?

msinfo62 read my blog view my photos
Jun 13, 2008 | 9:53 AM

I already coughed up my fingerprints and have a valid fingerprint clearance card.

Frankly, I don't care if Obama placed his hand on his left butt cheek.

I think the Koran is as worthy a book to read as teh Bible is. In fact, if people read both, they would be lots less ignorant.

Our country has had problems and has been screwed up long before Bush and Cheney ever came along.

There are mistakes that date back to the Eisenhower administration and mistakes that date back to Washington and Jefferson and the rest of the good ol' boys.

Getting it all fixed isn't going to be happening by a raving zealot.

Looking back at all of the pieces of the problems in this country, as well as, global problems, along with international problems and relationships takes a think tank and not just one man or woman.

Both McPain and Obama need to choose wisely in picking their VP and be able to move from there to put together the better think tank.

If you truly believe that one man or one woman is what has or will make a difference in the way our country is headed, you are clearly more ignorant than one could possibly imagine.

MrRhetoric read my blog
Jun 13, 2008 | 10:40 AM

"Secretary Jan Brewer Speaks"

No sample ballots for YOO TOO! Let there be "Torture" in long lines with no poll workers. Let there be "Torture" for YOO too trying to figure out why you received a "Provisional Ballot" leaving you with a "NO" Vote.

We're broke too, and we are not sure if we will even be able to have "FAIR ELECTIONS" in the State of Arizona.

We're still trying to figure out if 38,000 voters either committed voter fraud, or just got disinfranchised because we were not "PREPARED" for the "AVERAGE" minority, hispanic demographics in each precinct!

Now that you've relocated due to gas prices, foreclosures, lost equity values, divorce sales, auction sales, and of couse being a "Sanction Business State" loss of your job.

YOO are being "Tortured" and you don't even reside in Guantanomo Cuba. No State Supreme Court Decision for YOO!

YOO are being disinfranchised and you don't even recognize it! The majority of the Arizona voter is a "provisional ballot" voter at best.

YOO know what they say, "It doesn't matter who votes" it only matters which Secretary of State is counts the votes.

So what if she is the Chairman for the Republican Presidential Campaign for the State.

At end of the day, still 38,000 Hispanic votes uncounted is "Torture" to the hispanic community who register properly, show proper State Issued Identification, only to be "caged" and given four days, to prove VOTER WORTHY in this State. Mexican Americans stood up when Immigrants stood down, and got "caged"
at the polls.

So this is what is going to determine who

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ronhoon

I anchor Fox 10 Arizona Morning 5-9 AM. I am a Dad of three great kids who at 26, 22, and 19 are all grown up now. Our family lives in Mesa. I love reading to Valley school kids, and am also involved in the fight against diabetes. I've been on the air in Phoenix for 25 years.

Member Since: 9/1/2006