It amazes me, when you consider how fed up about the economy, and Iraq, people are...that John McCain is as close as he is in the polls to Barack Obama. You would think in a year where voters want to see major changes happen that Obama would be running a 20 point lead in the polls right now. Instead most show him up by about 5 to 7 points. And that's after Hillary Clinton drops out, endorses him, bringing along lots of positive coverage. There is even one poll out there showing that people want change so badly, by a margin of about 15 points, that they are willing to vote for a candidate with little experience (Obama) over someone with a lot of it (McCain.)
It remains to be seen which candidate will get those rural, blue collar voters...who probably didn't like being portrayed as "bitter" by Obama, who have seen their candidate Hillary, drop out...who would identify more with the Democratic Party, but who like John McCain as a war hero.
The key, as we sit now, less than five months out from the general election, is this: Who can win a handful of battleground states. Among them:
OHIO
PENNSYLVANIA
FLORIDA
VIRGINIA
WEST VIRGINIA
MINNESOTA
MICHIGAN
Hey, that almost looks like a college football poll! (Sorry, I'm getting a little impatient waiting for September.) But keep an eye on these states in the next several weeks. Now that the general election matchup has been set, we should see new polls coming out from these battlegrounds soon. And most of them are wide open.
Two polls in Virginia show entirely different result. Both taken in late May...one shows Obama up by 7...the other has McCain up by 8 points. Florida, for now, doesn't appear to be as much of a toss up. Polls there show McCain up 4 to 11 points. But then there's Michigan...where a poll in late May showed McCain up 4...shortly after that, another one showed Obama up 3.
This isn't one of those "in the middle" kind of elections, either. Many observers say Obama has been the single most liberal guy in the U.S. Senate. And while John McCain isn't the most conservative, he is conservative, more in the fiesty Barry Goldwater mode (another Arizonan with an independent streak.) So, this time around, the voters have a very clear choice. And the states listed above will play a huge role in deciding it.
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MrRhetoric
Jun 12, 2008 | 2:07 PM |
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Martina_J
Jun 12, 2008 | 2:43 PM |
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GeoBushII
Jun 12, 2008 | 5:00 PM |
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nowmd
Jun 12, 2008 | 5:46 PM |
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nowmd
Jun 12, 2008 | 6:00 PM |
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nowmd
Jun 12, 2008 | 6:07 PM |
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dhw1949
Jun 12, 2008 | 8:25 PM |
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msinfo62
Jun 12, 2008 | 10:57 PM |
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SWhite79
Jun 13, 2008 | 1:59 AM |
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Goldbug
Jun 13, 2008 | 5:37 AM |
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retnjcop
Jun 13, 2008 | 5:56 AM |
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AZRon
Jun 13, 2008 | 7:54 AM |
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msinfo62
Jun 13, 2008 | 8:05 AM |
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nowmd
Jun 13, 2008 | 9:01 AM |
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nowmd
Jun 13, 2008 | 9:06 AM |
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nowmd
Jun 13, 2008 | 9:09 AM |
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nowmd
Jun 13, 2008 | 9:10 AM |
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nowmd
Jun 13, 2008 | 9:18 AM |
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msinfo62
Jun 13, 2008 | 9:53 AM |
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MrRhetoric
Jun 13, 2008 | 10:40 AM |
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I anchor Fox 10 Arizona Morning 5-9 AM. I am a Dad of three great kids who at 26, 22, and 19 are all grown up now. Our family lives in Mesa. I love reading to Valley school kids, and am also involved in the fight against diabetes. I've been on the air in Phoenix for 25 years.
Member Since: 9/1/2006